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rotten boroughs - with a mighty bound he was free... - The Villages

hutch0
Date: 2009-06-09 11:13
Subject: rotten boroughs - with a mighty bound he was free...
Security: Public
Location:home
Mood:calmcalm
Music:vaughan williams
If you'd asked me, towards the end of last week, I'd have told you that Gordon was headed for the dole queue. That he's managed to survive is, I suppose, a tribute to his talents and to the fear he inspires in MPs.
The European elections were disastrous for any number of reasons. It was Labour's worst performance at an election ever, but they've managed to spin it. Across Europe voters - the ones who could be bothered to vote - turned away from Socialism and towards the centre right, which took a little of the sting out of Labour's performance. In addition, Europe really doesn't have a very big place in the public consciousness over here. I don't remember the last European elections being so closely watched and dissected; they're being seen now as something of a referendum on the credit crisis and the government's handling of it, and of the MPs expenses thing, and both those things are spinnable.
What is embarrassing - shameful, actually - is that the protest vote allowed UKIP and the BNP to gain ground - in the case of the BNP sending two MEPs to Brussels, and I'm ashamed to say that one of them came from my home area. UKIP are a bunch of cartoons, and I found it deeply ironic that a party which is anti-Europe was so delighted to do well in European elections.
Like the European elections, meetings of the Parliamentary Labour Party aren't heavily-reported, as a rule. But yesterday's attracted the kind of attention Princess Diana used to get.
It was built up as a make-or-break meeting, when Gordon would face a roomfull of fractious backbenchers, all of whom wanted to tear him limb from limb. There would be resignations, calls for him to step down, automatic weapons fire, attack dogs. That kind of thing.
In the event, it was a bit of a damp squib. Charles Clarke called for Gordon's resignation, but Charlie does that to every Prime Minister. Stephen Byers called for his resignation, but he wasn't even at the meeting and he's hardly fondly-regarded within the Party, for a number of reasons.
As I understand it, Gordon put on the performance of his life. He was described a `humble,' `caring.' He got applause. He got away with it.
So, boxes ticked. Cabinet sorted out; check. European elections spun; check. Council elections...well, probably sortable, and it's the General Election that really matters; check. Backbenchers mollified; check.
This is not to say he's entirely out of the woods yet. In the next week or so he'll be facing a no-confidence motion in the Commons, but I think he could squeak that too.
If he does, it's unlikely that we'll have an election until next Summer. By then, the expenses system will have been reformed and - if present trends continue - the economy may well be picking up, and Gordon can go to the country as the man who got the big issues right. He could win. He probably won't win big; I think his majority will be absolutely tiny and he'll have to cut a deal with parties like the SNP, which will wreck his next term.
But really, I can't remember any other time like this in British politics. Historians are going to be picking over this period for years and years.
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calcinations
User: calcinations
Date: 2009-06-09 15:38 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
With the USA centric orientation of the english speaking internet, I probably know only a bit less about current US politics than UK politics. THe structures of the messes are very similar, although the precise colour and horrible smells are different.
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hutch0
User: hutch0
Date: 2009-06-09 15:59 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
I think the phrase `colour and smells' is probably a good one; every nation's politics has a certain colour and smell, and probably taste as well, and you've got to pay attention to what's going on over a period of time in order to catch those little nuances.
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